Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.071846 0.084827 0.099354 0.116797 0.137157 0.160155 0.188086
2025-05-18 0.053873 0.071260 0.092884 0.121673 0.158918 0.205389 0.267687
2025-05-25 0.040383 0.058427 0.082807 0.117988 0.167272 0.233645 0.329580
2025-06-01 0.032618 0.050846 0.077223 0.117896 0.178703 0.265840 0.399694
2025-06-08 0.026718 0.044466 0.071738 0.116290 0.186759 0.293289 0.465706
2025-06-15 0.023227 0.040971 0.069724 0.119149 0.201288 0.331396 0.551764
2025-06-22 0.019702 0.036691 0.065619 0.117747 0.208426 0.358367 0.623131
2025-06-29 0.016630 0.032598 0.061076 0.114715 0.212080 0.379631 0.687126
2025-07-06 0.014041 0.028893 0.056575 0.110936 0.213645 0.397130 0.746236
2025-07-13 0.012676 0.027271 0.055591 0.113359 0.226546 0.435706 0.846828
2025-07-20 0.011324 0.025432 0.053887 0.114086 0.236214 0.469297 0.941851
2025-07-27 0.010178 0.023820 0.052371 0.114913 0.246060 0.504134 1.042909
2025-08-03 0.009230 0.022506 0.051335 0.116704 0.258339 0.545591 1.162822
2025-08-10 0.008572 0.021741 0.051362 0.120776 0.275929 0.599739 1.314779
2025-08-17 0.007419 0.019603 0.048030 0.116956 0.276046 0.618004 1.394592
2025-08-24 0.006670 0.018316 0.046437 0.116830 0.284256 0.654147 1.516344
2025-08-31 0.005929 0.016915 0.044353 0.115231 0.288842 0.682841 1.624909
2025-09-07 0.005519 0.016311 0.044119 0.118064 0.304153 0.737005 1.796375
2025-09-14 0.004944 0.015150 0.042304 0.116673 0.309062 0.767913 1.917774
2025-09-21 0.004367 0.013876 0.039995 0.113668 0.309545 0.788455 2.016988
2025-09-28 0.003832 0.012623 0.037545 0.109922 0.307623 0.802957 2.103184
2025-10-05 0.003589 0.012211 0.037359 0.112323 0.322095 0.859245 2.298388
2025-10-12 0.003310 0.011633 0.036612 0.113045 0.332150 0.905533 2.473393